TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK, 200 PM EDT THU AUG 13 2009

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

 

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

 

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL

DEPRESSION TWO...LOCATED ABOUT 885 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST

CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

 

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE BROAD LOW PRESSURE

AREA AND TROPICAL WAVE CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF THE CAPE

VERDE ISLANDS ARE SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. A TROPICAL

DEPRESSION COULD FORM FROM THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF

DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH

CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A

TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

 

2. SHOWER ACTIVITY EXTENDING FROM THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS

HISPANIOLA TO THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A

WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION

AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT

DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF

THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.

 

FORECASTER BEVEN

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK, 800 AM EDT THU AUG 13 2009

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL

DEPRESSION TWO...LOCATED ABOUT 840 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST

CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA

OF LOW PRESSURE AND A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES

SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IN THE FAR EASTERN

ATLANTIC OCEAN. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER

DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND THERE IS A MEDIUM

CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL

CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE THE LOW MOVES TO THE WEST AT

10 TO 15 MPH.

2. A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND

WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT

DEVELOPMENT AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF

THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OFGRAND TURK ISLAND IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SATELLITEIMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED...WITH THELOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DISPLACED TO THE WEST OF THE SHOWERAND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

UPPER-LEVEL WINDS COULD BRIEFLY BECOMEMORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME ATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

From other point o view, The Hispaniola Island